This is an update of articles that I have read that I want to mention but only have time to provide a brief summary. I have also included links to some other items of interest. Previous commentaries are available here.
I have been following the Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act) since it was first proposed and most of the articles described below are related to the net-zero transition. I have devoted a lot of time to the Climate Act because I believe the ambitions for a zero-emissions economy embodied in the Climate Act outstrip available renewable technology such that the net-zero transition will do more harm than good. The opinions expressed in this article do not reflect the position of any of my previous employers or any other company I have been associated with, these comments are mine alone.
Videos
Gorilla Science is the creation of Martin Durkin and Tom Nelson. Their first video looks at heat waves and finds that careful analysis of the data contradicts the mainstream narrative.
John Robson at Climate Discussion Nexus released a video of a talk with Dr. Javier Vinós. The interview covered his book Solving the Climate Puzzle, his reasons for challenging the prevailing orthodox “Enhanced CO2 Hypothesis” about climate change, including the spectacular weakness of computer climate models, and his alternative explanation for the cooling and warming of planet Earth.
Ben Pile talks about the net-zero initiative in Great Britain.
True Cost of Wind Energy
John Droz describes ten unacknowledged costs that wind energy proponents overlook when talking about costs. He states “The system is setup to grease the skids for wind energy developers — not ratepayers. When it comes to wind energy, we are dealing with 21st century snake oil salespeople. They have a sophisticated multi-part strategy to profit at the public’s expense.” His post explains why.
Coal Plants
Ron Stein compares coal-fired power plants in the United States and China. There are 200 operating coal plants in the USA, 1,142 in China, and over 2,400 in the world. He notes that “Due to onerous regulations by the Biden Administration and the overreach of his BLM and EPA, approximately 170 of the remaining coal-fired plants in the U.S. are scheduled to be de-commissioned by 2030, and there are no plans to build any new coal-fired plants in the U.S.” Based on my experience I think that a coal plant with modern pollution controls can be a pragmatic component of an electric system. There is no getting around the CO2 emissions, but all the other pollutants can be controlled well. Importantly, they are resilient because fuel can be stored on-site, and the US has tremendous coal reserves. Also, in my experience the coal mined in the western US can be done responsibly and the land reclaimed acceptably. On the other hand, mining that removes mountain tops in West Virginia does not meet those criteria.
Solar Site Selection In New York
Paces tackles climate change through technology. They analyzed solar energy siting trends in 12 states “offering a comprehensive perspective of the challenges and opportunities developers face.” In New York they found:
- Suitable sites for solar Decreased 9.6%, from 6,908 sites in January to 6,245 by October, and is projected to drop to 5,372 by mid-2025.
- Smaller Parcels Are Increasing Project Complexity New York: Decreased 4.9%, from 41.0 acres in January to 39.0 acres by October, and is projected to drop to 37.6 acres by mid-2025.
- Declining Feeder Capacity Adds Complexity New York: Decreased 5.9%, from 3.54 MW in January to 3.33 MW by October, and is projected to drop to 3.20 MW by mid-2025.
This Year in Gas
Doomberg is an excellent blog that covers energy issues but most articles are behind a paywall. This article describes energy markets and makes some good points. Someday I will try to address this description of energy markets relative to New York’s cap and invest proposed program:
To understand energy markets, one need only internalize four things. First, energy is life—a point so central to our framework of macroeconomic and geopolitical analysis that it needs no further elaboration in today’s pages. Second, energy is fungible, and all primary forms of energy, being additive to the human endeavor, will be greedily consumed in its pursuit. Third, energy prices are highly inelastic, such that mere percentage points of regional supply imbalances cause wild market swings. Finally, the energy industry is reliably incapable of self-discipline, unable to resist the allure of drilling the next well.
I was more interested in the following quote. I believe that burning natural gas at base-load power plants wastes a valuable resource that should be used more elsewhere. I think that the idea that heavy and medium duty trucks can be converted to all-electric battery vehicles is nuts. On the other hand, it is relatively easy to convert a diesel truck to burn liquified natural gas. Further proof of my belief that this approach is a pragmatic solution to the diesel inhalable particulate matter environmental justice concerns was provided here:
Despite a parade of dire predictions about depleting shale wells, wars in the Middle East, and this-time-we-really-mean-it producer discipline, the world exits 2024 with oil down for the year and clinging to the bottom of its heavily-managed range. As measured in ounces of gold, the stuff has basically never been cheaper. We turn to China for a key reason why:
“Trucking fleets in China are embracing cleaner-burning liquefied natural gas (LNG) for fuel, a trend neighbouring India wants to emulate, accelerating a decline in diesel demand and rattling suppliers to the world’s biggest oil importer.
The rise of LNG trucks in China comes on top of world-leading electric vehicle (EV) adoption there and a prolonged economic slowdown, dampening demand in what for decades has been the main driver in oil consumption growth, with crude imports down 2.8% so far this year, weakening global prices.”
Offshore Wind
David Wojick has written many articles about offshore wind issues and compiled them into a summary recently. His work emphasizes the impacts of the proposed massive developments on whales in general and the North Atlantic Right Whale in particular. For example, in this article he documents new links about organizations that advocate for whales but “when it comes to offshore wind they look to have abandoned the whales in favor of green nirvana.”
New York Transition Update
Francis Menton published a good update of New York’s standing in the race to be the first jurisdiction to hit the “Green Energy Wall” where it becomes obvious that the future powered by wind and sun cannot work. In an earlier post he declared Germany to be the winner in the race because “Its pursuit of the ‘renewable’ wind and solar electricity fantasy has put it in a spot where regular wind/sun droughts cause huge electricity price spikes, and major industries have become uncompetitive. It has no solution to its dead end and can go no farther.” He wrote:
If Germany has “hit the wall,” what is the appropriate analogy for New York? New York passed its Climate Act with great fanfare in 2019. The Act orders that we are to have a “net zero” energy system by 2050, with interim deadlines along the way. The first serious deadline arrives in 2030, where the official mandate is 70% of electricity generation from “renewables” (aka “70 x 30”). That deadline is now just five years away. Within the past year, all the efforts to move toward the 70 x 30 goal are falling apart, as anybody who had given the subject any critical thought knew that they inevitably would. But nobody in authority has yet been willing to acknowledge that this has turned into a farce.
Here’s my analogy: New York is like the cartoon character Wile E. Coyote, who has run off the cliff and is now suspended in mid-air, apparently not knowing what will happen next.








